American Outdoor Brands Stock Performance

AOUT Stock  USD 9.06  0.28  3.19%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, American Outdoor holds a performance score of 14. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.76, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, American Outdoor will likely underperform. Please check American Outdoor's potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether American Outdoor's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in American Outdoor Brands are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively weak basic indicators, American Outdoor unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.19
Five Day Return
4.26
Year To Date Return
14.39
Ten Year Return
(41.55)
All Time Return
(41.55)
1
American Outdoor Brands Cut to Sell at Wall Street Zen
11/05/2025
2
Acquisition by Brian Murphy of 64629 shares of American Outdoor subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
3
Insights Ahead American Outdoor Brandss Quarterly Earnings
12/08/2025
4
American Outdoor Brands Earnings Call Transcript
12/11/2025
5
5 Revealing Analyst Questions From American Outdoor Brandss Q3 Earnings Call
12/16/2025
6
Will American Outdoor Brands Inc. stock see PE expansion - Mean Reversion Trades Build Wealth With Expert Timing Advice - Bollywood Helpline
12/23/2025
7
Buy Signal Will American Outdoor Brands Inc stock beat EPS estimates - 2025 Performance Recap Real-Time Stock Entry Alerts - moha.gov.vn
12/31/2025
8
Why American Outdoor Brands Stock Is Trading Up Today
01/05/2026
9
With 74 percent ownership, American Outdoor Brands, Inc. boasts of strong institutional backing
01/08/2026
10
Subdued Growth No Barrier To American Outdoor Brands, Inc. With Shares Advancing 25 percent -
01/15/2026
11
Acquisition by Marconi Luis G of 9163 shares of American Outdoor subject to Rule 16b-3
01/26/2026
12
American Outdoor Brands Trading Up 0.6 percent - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow29.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.9 M

American Outdoor Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  680.00  in American Outdoor Brands on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  226.00  from holding American Outdoor Brands or generate 33.24% return on investment over 90 days. American Outdoor Brands is currently generating 0.5103% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.8009% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than American, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Outdoor is expected to generate 3.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.18 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

American Outdoor Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.06 90 days 9.06 
about 7.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Outdoor to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 7.4 (This American Outdoor Brands probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.76 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, American Outdoor will likely underperform. Additionally American Outdoor Brands has an alpha of 0.157, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   American Outdoor Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for American Outdoor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Outdoor Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Outdoor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.259.0511.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.7510.5513.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.848.6411.44
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
11.3812.5013.88
Details

American Outdoor Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Outdoor is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Outdoor's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Outdoor Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Outdoor within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.76
σ
Overall volatility
0.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

American Outdoor Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Outdoor for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Outdoor Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 222.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (77 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 91.39 M.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: American Outdoor Brands Trading Up 0.6 percent - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat

American Outdoor Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Outdoor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Outdoor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.4 M

American Outdoor Fundamentals Growth

American Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of American Outdoor, and American Outdoor fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on American Stock performance.

About American Outdoor Performance

Assessing American Outdoor's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into American Outdoor's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the American Outdoor is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 279.54  222.19 

Things to note about American Outdoor Brands performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about American Outdoor for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for American Outdoor Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 222.32 M. Net Loss for the year was (77 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 91.39 M.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: American Outdoor Brands Trading Up 0.6 percent - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
Evaluating American Outdoor's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate American Outdoor's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing American Outdoor's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether American Outdoor's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining American Outdoor's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating American Outdoor's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of American Outdoor's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of American Outdoor's stock. These opinions can provide insight into American Outdoor's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating American Outdoor's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact American Outdoor's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis

When running American Outdoor's price analysis, check to measure American Outdoor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Outdoor is operating at the current time. Most of American Outdoor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Outdoor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Outdoor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Outdoor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.